GPI Opinion

The Trump Phenomenon and the Russian Factor

  The unexpected victory of Donald Trump in the US presidential elections raised the possibility  that new administration was not  to pursue more flexible policies towards Russia.Trump did not hide the fact that he was looking to make peace with … Read More

European Union, Brexit, USA: The strategic dimension of the new trade issues

Brexit is the source of a great deal of uncertainty as far as the exit agreement is concerned. The British government has announced that it will trigger the procedure provided for by article 50 TEU on 29th March, but the … Read More

Cameron’s day of judgement: bad gambles and the EU referendum

The EU referendum result was simultaneously shocking and revealing. The most senior figures in government had backed the Stronger In campaign, and senior cabinet members had cast their professional opinions in favour of the Remain side. The vote to leave … Read More

Are China’s Sharply Rising Inflation Risks Cause for Domestic and even Global Debt Concerns?

After several years in the doldrums, China’s producer prices are surging, while coinciding with, and partly fuelling, a major global upturn in producer inflation China’s producer prices are spiking Since the end of 2012, China’s producer prices (the selling prices … Read More

Why Trump Is Right on Russia

Few of the Trump administration’s priorities have received as much criticism from the American foreign policy establishment as the president’s desire to improve relations with Russia. President Trump’s allegedly pro-Russian policies have been the subject of conspiracy theories and scandal. … Read More

Translating the Informal into the Formal

I have spent a large part of my professional career observing the more formal end of the political process, particularly in connection with foreign policy issues in the European Union and the Middle East. In that domain, the issue of … Read More

Is America Becoming a Third World Country?

Conspiracy theories about Russia suggest that the awful prospect for the USA is of a global superpower with the domestic politics of the Philippines or Argentina. If the allegations about Russia holding a “sex tape” on President-elect Trump were to … Read More

Trump ‘s ‘America First’ Strategy: Europe and Brexit in a World of Blocs

President Donald Trump’s ‘America First’, should it succeed, will represent nothing less than the end of the neo-liberal global order – often called ‘globalisation’ – which has governed world economics, and to some extent politics, for well over 30 years. … Read More

Let parliament entrench people’s EU-derived social and human rights with supermajorities.

Executive Summary The question of the social and human rights that we, as citizens and residents of the UK, have enjoyed during the 45 years of British membership of the European Union has been given far too little attention. They … Read More

Fed’s rate rise: little impact on China

The rate hike operated by the Fed should not lead to particularly negative consequences for China. In my view, the main reason for this is that China, contrary to the common narrative, is adopting measures to take a step back … Read More